
After the swift rise the stock market had in the first quarter, we were due for a pullback. Now the market’s oversold and ready for another rally.
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After the swift rise the stock market had in the first quarter, we were due for a pullback. Now the market’s oversold and ready for another rally.

The stock market’s gains made in the first quarter of 2012 has taken away half the upside potential the market had. Stocks just aren’t as cheap as they used to be.

The stock market went into a correction yesterday. Good. Things were getting rtoo easy, we needed to take a break and wash out the weak investors.

Jeremy Siegel — one of the best stock minds of our time — says “compared to bonds it’s one of the cheapest markets — stock markets — I’ve seen.”

The market is overbought now and I think it’s a great time to take profits. Some of these stock charts look perfect — too perfect. It’s time for a breather.

The stock market’s been on a tear this year, up 7% year to date. Yes the market’s still undervalued by 20% or more, but the Overbought Oversold Oscillator says we are due for a rest.

The stock market (measured by the S&P 500) rose 4% last month, hitting levels not seen since July of last year. P/E ratios rose last month — a sign of good things to come.

The good news is the Dow Jones Industrial Average broke out on the first trading day of 2012. The bad news is the market’s overbought so it likely won’t blast higher.

Exxon’s (XOM) profit estimates are falling. Surprising because the economy is expected to be solid next year. Good economies usually means higher oil.

The bottom line is the stock market is selling 23-24% below where it should be — and setting up nicely to break out — so we could be in for a solid Santa Clause rally. Merry Christmas!

December 28, 2010 By David Sharek
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